文章摘要
基于Robson分类系统研究医院剖宫产率关联因素及预测效度研究
The correlation factors and predictive validity of cesarean section rate in hospital were studied based on Robson classification system
投稿时间:2024-07-03  修订日期:2025-04-25
中文关键词: 二孩政策  Robson分类系统  医院剖宫产率  影响因素  预测效度  ROC曲线
英文关键词: Two child policy  Robson classification system  Hospital cesarean section rate  Influencing factors  Predictive validity  ROC curve
作者单位邮编
姚栋琴 宣城市人民医院产科 安徽宣城 242000
冯燕 郎溪县医院产科 安徽郎溪 
孙红梅* 宣城市人民医院产科 安徽宣城 242000
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中文摘要:
      【摘 要】目的:探讨Robson十分类法相关因素与剖宫产率的关联系,分析基于该分类法的剖宫产预测模型的有效性和效度。方法:回顾性分析宣城市人民医院和郎溪县医院2022年9月至2023年9月住院分娩产妇2235例产妇临床资料。采用描述性流行病学方法,分析按Robson十分类法的产妇剖宫产率。模型1为“产科因素”、模型2为“产科因素+人口学和严重程度”;模型3为“产科因素+人口学和严重程度+合并症和并发症”。采用多因素Logistic回归模型,分析Robson分类法相关变量与剖宫产率存在的相关性;绘制ROC曲线,分析对剖宫产预测模型的有效性。结果:2235例住院分娩产妇中1052例行剖宫产(占47.07%),瘢痕子宫与非瘢痕子宫分娩产妇年龄、是否参加医保、产次、胎次、胎位及孕周下剖宫产、瘢痕子宫及手术时机有统计学差异(P<0.05);本组剖宫产率排在前两位分别为:第7组(臀位、单胎初产妇,引产或临产前剖宫产)所占剖宫产率的构成比最高为92.00%;其次为第5组(头位、单胎初产妇,引产或临产前剖宫产,孕周≥37周),为86.11%;矫正产妇年龄及医保、产科合并症后,关联性均具有统计学差异(P<0.05);ROC曲线结果表明,模型3预测效能高于模型2和模型1(P<0.05);模型2预测效能高于模型1(P<0.05)。结论:Robson分类系统用于医院剖宫产率变化中效果显著,纳入的相关变量与剖宫产存在相关性及预测能力较高,应关注重点经产妇人群,尽可能降低医院剖宫产率。
英文摘要:
      [Abstract] Objective: To explore the correlation between factors related to Robson Ten classification and cesarean section rate, and analyze the validity and validity of cesarean section prediction model based on Robson Ten classification. Methods: The clinical data of 2235 hospitalized parturients in Xuancheng People's Hospital and Langxi County Hospital from September 2022 to September 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Descriptive epidemiological method was used to analyze the rate of cesarean section according to Robson's ten classification. Model 1 is "obstetric factors" and model 2 is "obstetric factors + demography and severity". Model 3 is "obstetric factors + demography and severity + comorbidities and complications". Multivariate Logistic regression model was used to analyze the correlation between Robson classification variables and cesarean section rate. ROC curve was drawn to analyze the effectiveness of the prediction model for cesarean section. Results: Among 2235 hospitalized parturiants, 1052 delivered by cesarean section (47.07%). There were statistical differences between parturiants with scarred uterus and those with non-scarred uterus in age, whether they participated in medical insurance, birth time, parity, fetal position and pregnancy week, caesarean section, scarred uterus and operation time (P<0.05). In this group, the top two cesarean section rates were as follows: Group 7 (breech presentation, , single pregnancy, primigravida, Induction of labor or Pre-labor cesarean section.) had the highest component ratio of 92.00%; Group 5 (head presentation, single pregnancy, primigravida, Induction of labor or Pre-labor cesarean section, gestational age ≥ 37 weeks), 86.11%; After correcting for maternal age, medical insurance and obstetric complications, the correlation was statistically different (P<0.05). ROC curve results showed that model 3 had a higher prediction efficiency than model 2 and model 1 (P<0.05). The prediction efficiency of model 2 was higher than that of model 1 (P<0.05). Conclusion: Robson classification system has a significant effect on the change of hospital cesarean section rate, and the relevant variables included are correlated with cesarean section and have high predictive ability. Attention should be paid to key multiparous population to reduce hospital cesarean section rate as much as possible.
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